EDITORIAL NOTE First 11th-edition data is live — the ELO ladder reset with it ›
EDITORIAL NOTE

First 11th-edition data is here — and the ELO ladder resets with it, every player back to a clean slate. The opening tournament results are in and the Strength Index is beginning to take shape across its signals, but a new edition takes time to read: expect weeks, likely months, before the numbers can support real conclusions. An early signal, not a verdict.

METHODOLOGY

PROTOCOL

How the Archive shows its work.

Most win-rate tables are verdicts. Protocol is the part that comes before the verdict — the question of whether the verdict can be trusted in the first place. Sample size, confidence intervals, the difference between a real shift and a coin flip in a small dataset. The Archive’s stance is that methodology should not be hidden behind the answer; it should be the answer’s foreground.

FLAGSHIP TOOLS
TEAM FORMAT · INTERACTIVE
Pairings Tool
The team-pairings solver. Compute the assignment-optimal blind-written ceiling, or run the validated three-push WTC sequential solver against an 8×8 matchup matrix — with calibration overlays from the Archive’s own tournament data.
OPEN ›
TEAM FORMAT · INTERACTIVE
Team Disposition Planner
The roster-construction half of the team-captain toolkit. Enter each player’s faction and locked Force Disposition; the planner enforces the 11th-edition Teams Event Companion caps, faction-keyword uniqueness, and the 3-DP detachment budget, and shows which detachments each player can take. Build the legal roster here, then pair the round next door.
OPEN ›
DAMAGE MATH · INTERACTIVE
Damage Distribution Calculator
Type weapon and target profiles; see the full exact damage distribution — mean, median, mode, P(kills the unit) — on the same picture. Every in-scope ability keyword, multiple profiles into one defender, points efficiency. The interactive companion to the On Average article.
OPEN ›
DISPOSITION DATA · INTERACTIVE
Disposition Explorer
Roam the faction → detachment → Force Disposition win-rate data across four lenses — which posture wins for a build, which builds win a posture, plus the army-agnostic disposition×disposition and disposition-agnostic build×build matchups. Every view carries a plain-language verdict gated on the sample: a leader is named only when its confidence interval clears the rest. The build×disposition lenses populate with the first post-11th-edition pull (3 July 2026); the faction matchups read now.
OPEN ›
THE METHODOLOGY LAB
TOOLS + ARTICLES
Methodology Library
The full directory — find the right tool or article for the question you’re asking.
BROWSE ›
Glossary
Terminology and definitions for both the 40k scene and the statistical concepts the methodology pieces use.
OPEN ›
CI Explorer
Visualize the Wilson confidence interval around a reported win rate. Single-rate primary mode plus an optional second-rate overlay for visual comparison.
OPEN ›
Two-Proportion Test
Compare two reported rates — faction vs faction, pre-update vs post-update, event vs event — and read a three-tier plain-language verdict on whether the gap is signal or noise.
OPEN ›
Power Analysis
How many games before we can tell? Converts statistical-power math into tournament-cadence reality — one major weekend, one MFM cycle, one full season — so you can judge whether a question is even answerable on the timeline you care about.
OPEN ›
FEATURES
FEATURE · LONG-READ · EDITOR
Where Cover Lives
A speculative column on a hypothetical 11th-edition cover-rules change — what one drafting decision could do to the opening months of the new edition. Editor voice; in dialogue with the methodology pieces above without being one.
READ ›
FEATURE · LONG-READ · EDITOR
The Cover Ledger
The companion to Where Cover Lives. Does the full durability accounting of the new cover rule, archetype by archetype and weapon by weapon — and finds that −1 BS is not the universal upgrade it can look like.
READ ›

All Phase 2 methodology tools are live, plus the five methodology articles — see the Methodology Library. The four explainers (Big Soup, Six Bins, Swiss Isn’t Random, On Average) sit alongside the Editor’s methodology editorial What the Numbers Can Bear, which makes the case for what the four taken together actually argue. The Editor’s feature long-reads sit one register over — speculative analysis distinct from the methodology explainers. The pair so far: Where Cover Lives, the structural argument that the cover rule’s move from save-roll to hit-roll opens a stacking problem, and its companion The Cover Ledger, the durability accounting that shows where the rule actually lands.